How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Top outcomes

4.3% 100%

4.4% 100%

4.5% 100%

4.6% 100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

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$292K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$292.3k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$292K Vol.

4.3%

100% market probability

100%

4.4%

100% market probability

100%

4.5%

100% market probability

100%

4.6%

100% market probability

100%

4.8%

84% market probability

84%

5.0%

32% market probability

32%

5.2%

9% market probability

5.5%

6% market probability

5.7%

4% market probability

6.0%

3% market probability

Public forecast history

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