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Resolved Economy Polymarket

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Top outcomes

4.3% 100%

4.4% 100%

4.5% 100%

4.6% 100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

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$237K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

Resolved outcome: 4.6%

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$237.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$237K Vol.

4.3%

100% market probability

100%

Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

4.4%

100% market probability

100%

Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

4.5%

100% market probability

100%

Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

4.6%

100% market probability

100%

Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

4.8%

38% market probability

38%

Yes 38% +62 / −38 No 62% +38 / −62

5.0%

15% market probability

15%

Yes 15% +85 / −15 No 85% +15 / −85

5.2%

7% market probability

Yes 7% +93 / −7 No 93% +7 / −93

5.5%

6% market probability

Yes 6% +94 / −6 No 94% +6 / −94

5.7%

5% market probability

Yes 5% +95 / −5 No 95% +5 / −95

6.0%

3% market probability

Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

Forecasts are closed for this market.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts were placed before this market closed.