Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place. Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

View on Polymarket

$1.0M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

Live odds

No 97%

Yes 3%

Live Polymarket Chart

Open on Polymarket ↗

Place a forecast

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

170 days left

Pick your outcome below. Live Polymarket odds are captured when you submit. Share the argument behind your pick, then post your forecast.

Market closes Dec 31, 2026

Your forecast

Reputation at stake based on current Polymarket odds.

Yes Market 3% +97 if correct · −3 if wrong No Market 97% +3 if correct · −97 if wrong

Your pick

Explain your forecast (optional) 0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.