Open Economy Polymarket

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

$50K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$50.0k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$50K Vol.

↓ 5.90%

66% market probability

66%
Yes 66% +34 / −66 No 34% +66 / −34

↓ 5.70%

54% market probability

54%
Yes 54% +46 / −54 No 46% +54 / −46

↑ 6.75%

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

↑ 7.00%

48% market probability

48%
Yes 48% +52 / −48 No 52% +48 / −52

↓ 5.50%

40% market probability

40%
Yes 40% +60 / −40 No 60% +40 / −60
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