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Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

$7.4M Vol. Closes May 31, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$7.4m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$7.4M Vol.

Iván Cepeda Castro

76% market probability

76%
Yes 76% +24 / −76 No 24% +76 / −24

Abelardo de la Espriella

25% market probability

25%
Yes 25% +75 / −25 No 75% +25 / −75

Paloma Valencia

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Roy Barreras

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Vicky Dávila

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Claudia López

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Sergio Fajardo

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Daniel Quintero

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Gustavo Bolívar

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Enrique Peñalosa

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Juan Daniel Oviedo

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Juan Manuel Galán

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Mauricio Cárdenas

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

David Luna Sánchez

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Juan Carlos Pinzón

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Germán Vargas Lleras

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Luis Gilberto Murillo

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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