Politics

TX-23 House Election Winner

Brandon Herrera (R) 70% Yes No

Katy Padilla Stout (D) 30% Yes No

$96K Vol.

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TX-24 House Election Winner

Beth Van Duyne (R) 92% Yes No

Kevin Burge (D) 8% Yes No

$70K Vol.

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TX-26 House Election Winner

Brandon Gill (R) 96% Yes No

Steven Shook (D) 3% Yes No

$63K Vol.

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TX-27 House Election Winner

Michael Cloud (R) 95% Yes No

Tanya Lloyd (D) 5% Yes No

$50K Vol.

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TX-30 House Election Winner

Frederick Haynes III (D) 97% Yes No

Everett Jackson (R) 2% Yes No

$49K Vol.

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TX-35 House Election Winner

Johnny Garcia (D) 58% Yes No

Carlos De La Cruz (R) 40% Yes No

$53K Vol.

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US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

No 20%

Yes 80%

$624K Vol.

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VA-01 House Election Winner

Shannon Taylor (D) 57% Yes No

Rob Wittman (R) 44% Yes No

$73K Vol.

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VA-02 House Election Winner

Elaine Luria (D) 90% Yes No

Jen Kiggans (R) 10% Yes No

$57K Vol.

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VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Other 50% Yes No

Person A 50% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$34K Vol.

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VA-04 House Election Winner

Jennifer McClellan (D) 97% Yes No

Robert Murray (R) 2% Yes No

$42K Vol.

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VA-05 House Election Winner

John McGuire (R) 70% Yes No

Tom Perriello (D) 30% Yes No

$131K Vol.

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Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R) 76% Yes No

Amanda Janoo (D) 25% Yes No

$239K Vol.

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WA-01 House Election Winner

Suzan DelBene (D) 98% Yes No

Mary Silva (R) 2% Yes No

$46K Vol.

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WA-02 House Election Winner

Rick Larsen (D) 96% Yes No

Edwin Feller (R) 3% Yes No

$33K Vol.

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WA-05 House Election Winner

Michael Baumgartner (R) 88% Yes No

Carmela Conroy (D) 10% Yes No

$91K Vol.

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WA-10 House Election Winner

Marilyn Strickland (D) 97% Yes No

Chris Chung (R) 2% Yes No

$37K Vol.

Polymarket

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party 90% Yes No

Republican Party 10% Yes No

$18.4M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party 64% Yes No

Republican Party 36% Yes No

$7.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Iowa 72% Yes No

Texas 70% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$114K Vol.

Polymarket

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 61% Yes No

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 34% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$142K Vol.

Polymarket

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

No Hormuz Agreement 91% Yes No

Hormuz Agreement; D Senate 5% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket World

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

No Hormuz Agreement 96% Yes No

Hormuz Agreement; D Senate 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 65% Yes No

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 32% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$250K Vol.

Polymarket