US Elections

Forecasts in US Elections · Politics

92 open forecasts of 414 in Politics

Events in US Elections

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MA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Richard Neal 92% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$83K Vol.
Polymarket

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Chris Pappas 95% Yes No
Karishma Manzur 5% Yes No
$112K Vol.
Polymarket

Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Helena Foulkes 99% Yes No
Dan McKee 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$45K Vol.
Polymarket

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Dan Koh 89% Yes No
Tram Nguyen 11% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$191K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by...?

September 30? 4% Yes No
August 9? 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$165K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Other 46% Yes No
Democrats 8-10% 28% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$131K Vol.
Polymarket

AL-03 House Election Winner

Republican Party 94% Yes No
Democratic Party 0% Yes No
$42K Vol.
Polymarket

AL-05 House Election Winner

Republican Party 94% Yes No
Democratic Party 6% Yes No
$46K Vol.
Polymarket

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 53% Yes No
Bernadette Wilson 36% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola 66% Yes No
Sen. Dan Sullivan 34% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$462K Vol.
Polymarket

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D) 88% Yes No
Andy Biggs (R) 12% Yes No
$67K Vol.
Polymarket

AZ-03 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 98% Yes No
Republican Party 0% Yes No
$51K Vol.
Polymarket

AZ-09 House Election Winner

Republican Party 94% Yes No
Democratic Party 4% Yes No
$26K Vol.
Polymarket

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 50% Yes No
R Senate, D House 36% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$10.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

CA-23 House Election Winner

Republican Party 93% Yes No
Democratic Party 6% Yes No
$60K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-24 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 98% Yes No
Republican Party 2% Yes No
$51K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-28 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 98% Yes No
Republican Party 2% Yes No
$141K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-44 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 98% Yes No
Republican Party 2% Yes No
$47K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-48 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 88% Yes No
Republican Party 11% Yes No
$32K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-49 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 94% Yes No
Republican Party 6% Yes No
$21K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-50 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 94% Yes No
Republican Party 6% Yes No
$64K Vol.
Polymarket

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 95% Yes No
Steve Hilton 5% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$40.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

DE-AL House Election Winner

Democratic Party 94% Yes No
Republican Party 4% Yes No
$43K Vol.
Polymarket

FL-12 House Election Winner

Republican Party 89% Yes No
Democratic Party 8% Yes No
$56K Vol.
Polymarket