Politics

Elections, policy, and government

214 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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Elon Musk # tweets July 14 - July 21, 2026?

180-199 18% Yes No
200-219 16% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$228K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$10.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?

Troy Jackson 68% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$500K Vol.
Polymarket

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

Bev Craig 94% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+49 more outcomes

$272K Vol.
Polymarket

Evo Morales arrested by...?

July 31 12% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$41K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

French election called by...?

July 31, 2026 1% Yes No
October 10 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Israel closes its airspace by...?

August 31 32% Yes No
July 31 18% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$22.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

July 31 96% Yes No
July 17 82% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by...?

July 31 83% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$776K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

July 31 8% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$405K Vol.
Polymarket

Weed rescheduled by...?

December 31 23% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$780K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Macron out by...?

July 31, 2026 0% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

July 31 98% Yes No
July 16 97% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$150K Vol.
Polymarket

Starmer officially leaves office by…?

July 31 99% Yes No
July 17 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$108K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump out as President by July 31?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$759K Vol.
Polymarket

US x China tariff agreement by July 31?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$39K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump meet with in July?

Keir Starmer 100% Yes No
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 100% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$101K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?

Joe Biden 100% Yes No
Barack Obama 100% Yes No

+25 more outcomes

$64K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Who will Trump publicly praise by July 31?

Mark Rutte 100% Yes No
Susan Dell 100% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$35K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$44K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

July 1 100% Yes No
July 2 100% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$276K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

JD Vance 100% Yes No
Donald Trump 100% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Abdul El-Sayed 78% Yes No
Haley Stevens 23% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$880K Vol.
Polymarket

How many World Cup matches will Trump attend?

1 92% Yes No
0 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$96K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture