Politics

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24% Yes No

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10% Yes No

+43 more outcomes

$1168.2M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 33% Yes No

Marco Rubio 26% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$645.0M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 51%

Yes 49%

$644.8M Vol.

Polymarket Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 18% Yes No

Gavin Newsom 16% Yes No

+34 more outcomes

$606.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

December 31 78% Yes No

July 31 59% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$211.7M Vol.

Polymarket World

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 56% Yes No

June 30 4% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$121.3M Vol.

Polymarket World

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 42% Yes No

Flávio Bolsonaro 29% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$90.0M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro 68% Yes No

Delcy Rodríguez 20% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$89.2M Vol.

Polymarket World

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 26% Yes No

Édouard Philippe 16% Yes No

+34 more outcomes

$84.4M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 88%

Yes 12%

$68.3M Vol.

Polymarket May 31

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Keiko Fujimori 74% Yes No

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 25% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$56.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$52.0M Vol.

Polymarket Oprah Winfrey

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$49.9M Vol.

Polymarket Bernie Sanders

Iran closes its airspace by...?

June 30 26% Yes No

June 15 19% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$46.1M Vol.

Polymarket World

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31 14% Yes No

September 30 10% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$45.7M Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 97%

Yes 3%

$45.1M Vol.

Polymarket World

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Chong Won-oh 78% Yes No

Oh Se-hoon 22% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$43.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

July 31 82% Yes No

June 30 68% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$41.7M Vol.

Polymarket World

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$40.8M Vol.

Polymarket Tim Walz

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$40.6M Vol.

Polymarket George Clooney

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$40.3M Vol.

Polymarket Beto O’Rourke

Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$36.5M Vol.

Polymarket Liz Cheney

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$36.5M Vol.

Polymarket World

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$33.5M Vol.

Polymarket Gina Raimondo

Colombia Presidential Election

Abelardo de la Espriella 66% Yes No

Candidate M 50% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$32.2M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$31.4M Vol.

Polymarket Barack Obama

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93%

Yes 7%

$31.2M Vol.

Polymarket World

Starmer out by...?

December 31 70% Yes No

July 31 33% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$29.9M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$29.4M Vol.

Polymarket Raphael Warnock

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 68% Yes No

Tom Steyer 20% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$27.9M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$24.2M Vol.

Polymarket Cory Booker

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

June 30 66% Yes No

June 15 38% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$23.4M Vol.

Polymarket World

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 98%

Yes 2%

$23.2M Vol.

Polymarket Jon Stewart

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 31 22% Yes No

June 30 4% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$22.8M Vol.

Polymarket World

What will happen before GTA VI?

GPT-6 released 56% Yes No

New Playboi Carti Album 54% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$22.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$20.5M Vol.

Polymarket Stephen A. Smith

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$20.2M Vol.

Polymarket John Fetterman

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$20.2M Vol.

Polymarket Greg Abbott

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$19.8M Vol.

Polymarket Zohran Mamdani

Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$19.3M Vol.

Polymarket Josh Hawley

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

No 0%

Yes 100%

$19.1M Vol.

Polymarket May 24

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 84%

Yes 16%

$19.0M Vol.

Polymarket World

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 11% Yes No

Donald Trump 8% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$18.9M Vol.

Polymarket World

Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$18.8M Vol.

Polymarket Matt Gaetz

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$18.8M Vol.

Polymarket Rand Paul

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 98%

Yes 2%

$18.3M Vol.

Polymarket Andy Beshear

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$17.6M Vol.

Polymarket Ted Cruz

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$17.6M Vol.

Polymarket Erika Kirk