Open
Polymarket
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Top outcomes
Bev Craig
82%
Other
50%
Person C
50%
Person D
50%
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).
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Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$86.7k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$87K Vol.
Bev Craig
82% market probability
82%
Yes 82%
+18 / −82
No 18%
+82 / −18
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AA
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AB
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AC
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AD
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AE
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AF
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AG
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AH
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AI
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AJ
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AK
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AL
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AM
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AN
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AO
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Dan Barker
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Geraldine Coggins
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Marlon Scott West
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Kate Green
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Laura Evans
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Arooj Shah
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Jake Austin
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Nick Buckley
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Paul Dennett
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Hannah Spencer
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
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