Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?

Top outcomes

Joe Biden 98%
Barack Obama 95%
Nicolás Maduro 57%
Jerome Powell 56%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

$11K Vol. Closes Jul 31, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$11.3k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$11K Vol.

Joe Biden

98% market probability

98%

Explain your Yes on Joe Biden Explain your No on Joe Biden (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Barack Obama

95% market probability

95%

Explain your Yes on Barack Obama Explain your No on Barack Obama (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Nicolás Maduro

57% market probability

57%

Explain your Yes on Nicolás Maduro Explain your No on Nicolás Maduro (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Jerome Powell

56% market probability

56%

Explain your Yes on Jerome Powell Explain your No on Jerome Powell (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Alex Jones

50% market probability

50%

Explain your Yes on Alex Jones Explain your No on Alex Jones (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Jimmy Kimmel

46% market probability

46%

Explain your Yes on Jimmy Kimmel Explain your No on Jimmy Kimmel (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Candace Owens

46% market probability

46%

Explain your Yes on Candace Owens Explain your No on Candace Owens (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Kaitlan Collins

46% market probability

46%

Explain your Yes on Kaitlan Collins Explain your No on Kaitlan Collins (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Norah O'Donnell

46% market probability

46%

Explain your Yes on Norah O'Donnell Explain your No on Norah O'Donnell (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Megyn Kelly

44% market probability

44%

Explain your Yes on Megyn Kelly Explain your No on Megyn Kelly (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Marjorie Taylor Greene

44% market probability

44%

Explain your Yes on Marjorie Taylor Greene Explain your No on Marjorie Taylor Greene (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Tucker Carlson

38% market probability

38%

Explain your Yes on Tucker Carlson Explain your No on Tucker Carlson (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Pope Leo XIV

38% market probability

38%

Explain your Yes on Pope Leo XIV Explain your No on Pope Leo XIV (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Pam Bondi

32% market probability

32%

Explain your Yes on Pam Bondi Explain your No on Pam Bondi (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Zohran Mamdani

26% market probability

26%

Explain your Yes on Zohran Mamdani Explain your No on Zohran Mamdani (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Emmanuel Macron

26% market probability

26%

Explain your Yes on Emmanuel Macron Explain your No on Emmanuel Macron (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Elon Musk

23% market probability

23%

Explain your Yes on Elon Musk Explain your No on Elon Musk (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Benjamin Netanyahu

21% market probability

21%

Explain your Yes on Benjamin Netanyahu Explain your No on Benjamin Netanyahu (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Keir Starmer

20% market probability

20%

Explain your Yes on Keir Starmer Explain your No on Keir Starmer (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Freidrich Merz

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on Freidrich Merz Explain your No on Freidrich Merz (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Vladimir Putin

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on Vladimir Putin Explain your No on Vladimir Putin (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Kevin Warsh

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on Kevin Warsh Explain your No on Kevin Warsh (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Mohammed bin Salman

7% market probability

7%

Explain your Yes on Mohammed bin Salman Explain your No on Mohammed bin Salman (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

J.D. Vance

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on J.D. Vance Explain your No on J.D. Vance (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Viktor Orbán

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on Viktor Orbán Explain your No on Viktor Orbán (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Xi Jinping

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on Xi Jinping Explain your No on Xi Jinping (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Melania Trump

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on Melania Trump Explain your No on Melania Trump (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.