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Sports
Polymarket
2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Top outcomes
Jannik Sinner
41%
Carlos Alcaraz
22%
Novak Djokovic
6%
Alexander Zverev
5%
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$2.1m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$2.1M Vol.
Jannik Sinner
41% market probability
41%
Yes 41%
+59 / −41
No 59%
+41 / −59
Carlos Alcaraz
22% market probability
22%
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
No 78%
+22 / −78
Novak Djokovic
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Alexander Zverev
5% market probability
5%
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
No 95%
+5 / −95
Joao Fonseca
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Daniil Medvedev
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Ben Shelton
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Taylor Fritz
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Jakub Mensik
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Jack Draper
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Felix Auger Aliassime
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Arthur Fils
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Flavio Cobolli
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Holger Rune
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Frances Tiafoe
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Lorenzo Musetti
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Jiri Lehecka
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Andrey Rublev
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Alexander Bublik
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Matteo Berrettini
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Hubert Hurkacz
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Grigor Dimitrov
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
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