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Who will Trump publicly praise by July 31?
Top outcomes
Dana White
100%
Mark Rutte
100%
Susan Dell
100%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.
Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
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$35K Vol.
Closes Jul 31, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$35.1k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$35K Vol.
Dana White
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Mark Rutte
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Mark Rutte
Explain your No on Mark Rutte
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Susan Dell
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Susan Dell
Explain your No on Susan Dell
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ahmed al-Sharaa
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Ahmed al-Sharaa
Explain your No on Ahmed al-Sharaa
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Brett Kavanaugh
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Brett Kavanaugh
Explain your No on Brett Kavanaugh
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gianni Infantino
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Gianni Infantino
Explain your No on Gianni Infantino
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cristiano Ronaldo
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Cristiano Ronaldo
Explain your No on Cristiano Ronaldo
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Explain your No on Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sheikh Tamim al-Thani
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Sheikh Tamim al-Thani
Explain your No on Sheikh Tamim al-Thani
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud
Explain your No on King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Elon Musk
92% market probability
92%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 92%
+8 / −92
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 8%
+92 / −8
Explain your Yes on Elon Musk
Explain your No on Elon Musk
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Weijia Jiang
76% market probability
76%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 76%
+24 / −76
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 24%
+76 / −24
Explain your Yes on Weijia Jiang
Explain your No on Weijia Jiang
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lionel Messi
60% market probability
60%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 60%
+40 / −60
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 40%
+60 / −40
Explain your Yes on Lionel Messi
Explain your No on Lionel Messi
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Zohran Mamdani
46% market probability
46%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 46%
+54 / −46
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 54%
+46 / −54
Explain your Yes on Zohran Mamdani
Explain your No on Zohran Mamdani
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Vladimir Putin
40% market probability
40%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 40%
+60 / −40
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 60%
+40 / −60
Explain your Yes on Vladimir Putin
Explain your No on Vladimir Putin
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Delcy Rodriguez
37% market probability
37%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 37%
+63 / −37
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 63%
+37 / −63
Explain your Yes on Delcy Rodriguez
Explain your No on Delcy Rodriguez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Emmanuel Macron
30% market probability
30%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 30%
+70 / −30
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 70%
+30 / −70
Explain your Yes on Emmanuel Macron
Explain your No on Emmanuel Macron
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ursula von der Leyen
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
Explain your Yes on Ursula von der Leyen
Explain your No on Ursula von der Leyen
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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