Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Brazil Presidential Election Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Iran leadership change by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms NBA: 2027 Champion US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Status

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 20% Yes No

Jon Ossoff 16% Yes No

+49 more outcomes

$1268.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 25% Yes No

Jon Ossoff 11% Yes No

+50 more outcomes

$696.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 52% Yes No

Marco Rubio 18% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$693.6M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 56% Yes No

Flávio Bolsonaro 39% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$141.0M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen 33% Yes No

Édouard Philippe 26% Yes No

+39 more outcomes

$124.4M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 48% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$124.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31 4% Yes No

September 30 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$66.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 95% Yes No

Steve Hilton 5% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$40.9M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei 82% Yes No

No Head of State 5% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$39.0M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot 51% Yes No

Benjamin Netanyahu 29% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$34.3M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 31 5% Yes No

September 30 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$29.2M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Israel closes its airspace by...?

September 30 4% Yes No

May 8 0% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$27.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 2027 26% Yes No

December 31 16% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$24.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER) 70% Yes No

New People (NL) 24% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$24.2M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 31 64% Yes No

October 31 40% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$24.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia Navalnaya 8% Yes No

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 4% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$23.6M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027 17% Yes No

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$22.3M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31 6% Yes No

October 31 2% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$17.9M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass 64% Yes No

Nithya Raman 35% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$13.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 31 18% Yes No

October 31 10% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$12.0M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Trump out as President before 2027?