Largest Company end of December 2026? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? What price will Ethereum hit in July? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Next French Presidential Election Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year California Governor Election Winner Largest Company end of July? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Iran leader end of 2026? Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Iran leadership change by...? Fed rate hike in 2026?

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Status

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 20% Yes No

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% Yes No

+49 more outcomes

$1246.0M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 43% Yes No

Marco Rubio 28% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$678.2M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 20% Yes No

Marco Rubio 14% Yes No

+48 more outcomes

$669.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli 75% Yes No

Lewis Hamilton 11% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$199.9M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 44% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$123.6M Vol.

Polymarket World

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen 31% Yes No

Édouard Philippe 26% Yes No

+39 more outcomes

$115.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 60% Yes No

Flávio Bolsonaro 23% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$115.3M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Fed Decision in July?

No change 74% Yes No

25 bps increase 24% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$87.9M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 98%

Yes 2%

$64.8M Vol.

Polymarket Pop Culture

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31 6% Yes No

September 30 3% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$63.5M Vol.

Polymarket Pop Culture

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

+34 more outcomes

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 84% Yes No

1 (25 bps) 10% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$44.7M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

NFL Champion 2027

Los Angeles Rams 14% Yes No

Buffalo Bills 8% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$41.7M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 93% Yes No

Steve Hilton 7% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$40.4M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

NBA: LeBron James Next Team

Miami Heat 46% Yes No

Cleveland Cavaliers 28% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$40.1M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

MLB World Series Champion 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers 34% Yes No

New York Yankees 14% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$36.3M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei 72% Yes No

No Head of State 6% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$34.2M Vol.

Polymarket World

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

March 31, 2027 51% Yes No

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$30.7M Vol.

Polymarket Pop Culture

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot 49% Yes No

Benjamin Netanyahu 38% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$29.1M Vol.

Polymarket World

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 31 14% Yes No

September 30 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$28.7M Vol.

Polymarket World

F1 Constructors' Champion

+9 more outcomes