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All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑1k
100%
Yes
No
↑2k
100%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$7.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Which company has best AI model end of July?
Anthropic
98%
Yes
No
Google
1%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$7.5M Vol.
Polymarket
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–16
47%
Yes
No
17–19
29%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
0
72%
Yes
No
1
20%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
New pandemic in 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$914K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31
22%
Yes
No
September 30
10%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$872K Vol.
Polymarket
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$728K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 2026
88%
Yes
No
September 30, 2026
74%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$665K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 31
99%
Yes
No
October 31
99%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$610K Vol.
Polymarket
Best Chinese AI Company end of July?
Alibaba
80%
Yes
No
Moonshot
19%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$605K Vol.
Polymarket
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$577K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5-6
57%
Yes
No
<5
28%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$488K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic
64%
Yes
No
Google
10%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$377K Vol.
Polymarket
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of July?
Anthropic
94%
Yes
No
Google
3%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$358K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by July 31
94%
Yes
No
July 28
3%
Yes
No
+30 more outcomes
$348K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No
76%
Yes
24%
$334K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
No
76%
Yes
24%
$311K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
August 31
85%
Yes
No
August 7
64%
Yes
No
+14 more outcomes
$264K Vol.
Polymarket
Which company has best AI model end of August?
Anthropic
94%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+30 more outcomes
$259K Vol.
Polymarket
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No
91%
Yes
9%
$250K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No
76%
Yes
24%
$227K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Next Claude Opus released on...?
July 24
37%
Yes
No
No release by July 31
17%
Yes
No
+16 more outcomes
$221K Vol.
Polymarket
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$178K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
No
6%
Yes
94%
$147K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Showing 1–24