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Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Top outcomes

December 31, 2026 30%
October 31, 2026 8%
March 31, 2026 0%
December 31, 2025 0%

This is a market on whether OpenAI will release a consumer hardware product by the specified date.

$357K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$356.9k Vol.

All outcomes

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$357K Vol.

December 31, 2026

30% market probability

30%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2026 Explain your No on December 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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October 31, 2026

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on October 31, 2026 Explain your No on October 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

March 31, 2026

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on March 31, 2026 Explain your No on March 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

December 31, 2025

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2025 Explain your No on December 31, 2025 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

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