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Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Top outcomes

December 31 36%
November 30 24%
October 31 8%
October 23 4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

$1.6M Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$1.6m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.6M Vol.

December 31

36% market probability

36%

Explain your Yes on December 31 Explain your No on December 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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November 30

24% market probability

24%

Explain your Yes on November 30 Explain your No on November 30 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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October 31

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on October 31 Explain your No on October 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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October 23

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on October 23 Explain your No on October 23 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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July 3

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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June 5

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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July 10

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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July 17

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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July 24

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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July 27

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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July 28

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on July 28 Explain your No on July 28 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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July 29

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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July 30

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on July 30 Explain your No on July 30 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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July 31

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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June 12

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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June 19

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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June 26

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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June 30

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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August 7

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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August 14

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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August 21

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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August 31

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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October 9

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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October 15

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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September 15

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on September 15 Explain your No on September 15 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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September 30

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on September 30 Explain your No on September 30 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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