Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 20% Yes No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% Yes No

+49 more outcomes

$1246.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 43% Yes No
Marco Rubio 28% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$678.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 20% Yes No
Marco Rubio 14% Yes No

+48 more outcomes

$669.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 44% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$123.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen 31% Yes No
Édouard Philippe 26% Yes No

+39 more outcomes

$115.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 60% Yes No
Flávio Bolsonaro 23% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$115.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
September 30 3% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$63.5M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 93% Yes No
Steve Hilton 7% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$40.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$39.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei 72% Yes No
No Head of State 6% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$34.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot 49% Yes No
Benjamin Netanyahu 38% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$29.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
September 30 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$28.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel closes its airspace by...?

August 31 55% Yes No
August 15 49% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$24.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$23.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia Navalnaya 10% Yes No
UNRWA 8% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$22.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 2027 40% Yes No
December 31 28% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$20.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027 16% Yes No
December 31, 2026 8% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$18.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
October 31 6% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$17.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER) 56% Yes No
New People (NL) 37% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$15.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass 64% Yes No
Nithya Raman 38% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$13.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$11.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$10.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$10.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 44% Yes No
R Senate, D House 40% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$8.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics