Anthropic IPO by __? Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? US military action against Cuba by...? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? California Governor Election Winner Trump out as President before 2027? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? F1 Constructors' Champion MLB: 2026 National League Champion Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Iran full airspace closure by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Anthropic IPO by __? Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? US military action against Cuba by...? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? California Governor Election Winner Trump out as President before 2027? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? F1 Constructors' Champion MLB: 2026 National League Champion Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Iran full airspace closure by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Source All Polymarket
Ending soon Next 24h Next 48h Next 72h Next week
All categories Crypto Economy Politics Esports Sports FIFA World Cup 2026 Pop Culture Science & Tech World Other

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% Yes No
Gavin Newsom 15% Yes No

+51 more outcomes

$1294.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 21% Yes No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% Yes No

+52 more outcomes

$716.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 48% Yes No
Marco Rubio 14% Yes No

+41 more outcomes

$711.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen 46% Yes No
Édouard Philippe 20% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$151.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 40% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$124.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$73.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot 47% Yes No
Benjamin Netanyahu 30% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$46.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$44.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 96% Yes No
Steve Hilton 4% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$41.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31 58% Yes No
December 31 35% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$40.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei 87% Yes No
No Head of State 5% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$40.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$29.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027 10% Yes No
December 31, 2026 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$29.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 2027 25% Yes No
December 31 12% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$27.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$27.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 62% Yes No
R Senate, D House 28% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$24.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$18.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party 90% Yes No
Republican Party 10% Yes No
$17.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
November 30 10% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$17.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman 56% Yes No
Karen Bass 44% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$15.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$14.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 5 100% Yes No
October 7 100% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$13.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$12.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$11.8M Vol.
Polymarket World