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Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Iran full airspace closure by...? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Putin out as President of Russia by...? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Los Angeles Mayoral Election Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Open Polymarket

Anthropic IPO by __?

Top outcomes

December 31, 2026 74%
December 15, 2026 72%
November 30, 2026 58%
November 15, 2026 6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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$4.8M Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$4.8m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$4.8M Vol.

December 31, 2026

74% market probability

74%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2026 Explain your No on December 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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December 15, 2026

72% market probability

72%

Explain your Yes on December 15, 2026 Explain your No on December 15, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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November 30, 2026

58% market probability

58%

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0 / 2,000

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November 15, 2026

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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October 31, 2026

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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October 15, 2026

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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July 31, 2026

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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June 30, 2026

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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September 15, 2026

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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September 30, 2026

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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