Xi Jinping out before 2027? Fed Decision in September? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Trump out as President before 2027? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Pro Football: 2027 Champion Iran full airspace closure by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Next French Presidential Election Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Highest grossing movie in 2026? Fed rate hike in 2026? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Fed Decision in September? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Trump out as President before 2027? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Pro Football: 2027 Champion Iran full airspace closure by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Next French Presidential Election Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Highest grossing movie in 2026? Fed rate hike in 2026? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
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Anthropic IPO by __?

Top outcomes

December 31, 2026 86%
October 31, 2026 68%
September 30, 2026 11%
September 15, 2026 1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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$1.6M Vol. Closes Jul 1, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$1.6m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.6M Vol.

December 31, 2026

86% market probability

86%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2026 Explain your No on December 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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October 31, 2026

68% market probability

68%

Explain your Yes on October 31, 2026 Explain your No on October 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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September 30, 2026

11% market probability

11%

Explain your Yes on September 30, 2026 Explain your No on September 30, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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September 15, 2026

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on September 15, 2026 Explain your No on September 15, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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July 31, 2026

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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June 30, 2026

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on June 30, 2026 Explain your No on June 30, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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