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Polymarket
Anthropic IPO by __?
Top outcomes
December 31, 2026
90%
October 31, 2026
70%
September 30, 2026
16%
September 15, 2026
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$247K Vol.
Closes Jul 1, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$246.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$247K Vol.
December 31, 2026
90% market probability
90%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 90%
+10 / −90
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 10%
+90 / −10
October 31, 2026
70% market probability
70%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 70%
+30 / −70
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 30%
+70 / −30
Explain your Yes on October 31, 2026
Explain your No on October 31, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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September 30, 2026
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on September 30, 2026
Explain your No on September 30, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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September 15, 2026
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on September 15, 2026
Explain your No on September 15, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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July 31, 2026
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on July 31, 2026
Explain your No on July 31, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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June 30, 2026
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 30, 2026
Explain your No on June 30, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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