Politics

Elections, policy, and government

214 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

August 15 35% Yes No
July 31 28% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$4.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Byron Donalds 96% Yes No
James Fishback 3% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate A 50% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$78K Vol.
Polymarket

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

No 60%
Yes 40%
$516K Vol.
Polymarket

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas 92% Yes No
Jim Priest 7% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$96K Vol.
Polymarket

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Mike Mazzei 81% Yes No
Genter Drummond 17% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$421K Vol.
Polymarket

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

July 31 17% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$6.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

August 31 2% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$117K Vol.
Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$641K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by...?

August 31, 2026 6% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$90K Vol.
Polymarket

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

August 31 49% Yes No
July 31 24% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$6.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$148K Vol.
Polymarket

US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

August 31 43% Yes No
July 31 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$614K Vol.
Polymarket

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

AfD 97% Yes No
CDU 2% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$840K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson 80% Yes No
Ulf Kristersson 16% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$3.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 97% Yes No
Sweden Democrats (SD) 2% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket

Berlin State Election Winner

Linke 34% Yes No
Grüne 26% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$3.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

United Russia (ER) 96% Yes No
New People (NL) 2% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

No 70%
Yes 30%
$226K Vol.
Polymarket

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER) 55% Yes No
New People (NL) 39% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$15.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?

September 30 64% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$925K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia enter Borova by...?

September 30 18% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$276K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?

September 30 14% Yes No
July 31 2% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$104K Vol.
Polymarket