Politics

Elections, policy, and government

414 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

325–339 34% Yes No
310–324 24% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$300K Vol.
Polymarket

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

AfD 88% Yes No
SPD 13% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$615K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 86% Yes No
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 7% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$413K Vol.
Polymarket

Bryansk Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner

Yegor Kovalchuk 97% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$37K Vol.
Polymarket

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?

8-11% 44% Yes No
<8% 29% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$22K Vol.
Polymarket

Mordovia Gubernatorial Election Winner

Artyom Zdunov 99% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?

No 34%
Yes 66%
$274K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$349K Vol.
Polymarket

Morocco Legislative Elections: 2nd Place

Other 50% Yes No
Party A 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$31K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

Other 50% Yes No
Person A 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$39K Vol.
Polymarket

Christopher Luxon out by September 30?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$80K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

United Russia (ER) 99% Yes No
New People (NL) 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$3.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$7.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER) 70% Yes No
New People (NL) 24% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$24.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?

September 30 18% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$40K Vol.
Polymarket

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$73K Vol.
Polymarket

NATO downs another Russian drone by...?

September 30 50% Yes No
September 15 28% Yes No
$39K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump speak to in September?

Xi Jinping 94% Yes No
Andy Burnham 92% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$86K Vol.
Polymarket

Evo Morales arrested by...?

September 30 32% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$42K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Israel closes its airspace by...?

September 30 4% Yes No
May 8 0% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$27.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?

September 30 2% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No
$149K Vol.
Polymarket

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

September 30 12% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$335K Vol.
Polymarket

When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?

September 30 40% Yes No
September 11 12% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$175K Vol.
Polymarket

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

No Meeting by September 30 88% Yes No
Switzerland 6% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$5.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics