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Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Top outcomes

Elon Musk 100%
Mark Carney 100%
Vladimir Putin 100%
Emmanuel Macron 100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

$214K Vol. Closes Nov 1, 2026

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$213.7k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$214K Vol.

Elon Musk

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Mark Carney

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Vladimir Putin

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Emmanuel Macron

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Mohammed bin Salman

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Ursula von der Leyen

97% market probability

97%

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0 / 2,000

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Friedrich Merz

95% market probability

95%

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0 / 2,000

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Mark Rutte

60% market probability

60%

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0 / 2,000

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Volodymyr Zelenskyy

56% market probability

56%

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0 / 2,000

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Ahmed al-Sharaa

39% market probability

39%

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0 / 2,000

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Andy Burnham

38% market probability

38%

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0 / 2,000

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Lula da Silva

32% market probability

32%

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0 / 2,000

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Reza Pahlavi

9% market probability

9%

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0 / 2,000

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Xi Jinping

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Pope Leo XIV

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Kim Jong Un

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Maria Corina Machado

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Masoud Pezeshkian

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Yoon Suk Yeol

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Miguel Díaz-Canel

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Mojtaba Khamenei

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Nicolás Maduro

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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