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Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place
Top outcomes
Together
80%
Other
50%
Party A
50%
Party B
50%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
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$65K Vol.
Closes Oct 28, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$65.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$65K Vol.
Together
80% market probability
80%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 80%
+20 / −80
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 19%
+81 / −19
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
Explain your No on Other
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party A
Explain your No on Party A
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party B
Explain your No on Party B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party C
Explain your No on Party C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party D
Explain your No on Party D
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party E
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party F
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party G
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party K
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party K
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party L
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party L
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party M
Explain your No on Party M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party N
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party N
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party O
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party O
Explain your No on Party O
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party P
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party P
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party Q
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party Q
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party R
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party R
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party S
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party S
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party T
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party T
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party U
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party U
Explain your No on Party U
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party V
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party V
Explain your No on Party V
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party W
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party W
Explain your No on Party W
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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The Democrats
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
Explain your Yes on The Democrats
Explain your No on The Democrats
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Otzma Yehudit
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Otzma Yehudit
Explain your No on Otzma Yehudit
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Yisrael Beiteinu
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Yisrael Beiteinu
Explain your No on Yisrael Beiteinu
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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United Torah Judaism
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on United Torah Judaism
Explain your No on United Torah Judaism
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Likud
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Likud
Explain your No on Likud
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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RZP-Zehut
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on RZP-Zehut
Explain your No on RZP-Zehut
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Joint List
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Joint List
Explain your No on Joint List
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Yashar
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Yashar
Explain your No on Yashar
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Shas
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Shas
Explain your No on Shas
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ra'am
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ra'am
Explain your No on Ra'am
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Amcha Yisrael
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Amcha Yisrael
Explain your No on Amcha Yisrael
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Noam
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Noam
Explain your No on Noam
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Blue and White
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Blue and White
Explain your No on Blue and White
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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The Reservists and the Economic Party
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on The Reservists and the Economic Party
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
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