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Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Top outcomes

Together 80%
Other 50%
Party A 50%
Party B 50%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

$65K Vol. Closes Oct 28, 2026

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$65.2k Vol.

All outcomes

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$65K Vol.

Together

80% market probability

80%

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0 / 2,000

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Other

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Party A

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Party B

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Party C

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Party D

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Party E

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Party F

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Party G

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Party H

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Party I

50% market probability

50%

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Party J

50% market probability

50%

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Party K

50% market probability

50%

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Party L

50% market probability

50%

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Party M

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Party N

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Party O

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Party P

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Party Q

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Party R

50% market probability

50%

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Party S

50% market probability

50%

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Party T

50% market probability

50%

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Party U

50% market probability

50%

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Party V

50% market probability

50%

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Party W

50% market probability

50%

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The Democrats

18% market probability

18%

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Otzma Yehudit

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Yisrael Beiteinu

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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United Torah Judaism

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Likud

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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RZP-Zehut

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Joint List

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Yashar

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Shas

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Ra'am

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Amcha Yisrael

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Noam

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Blue and White

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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The Reservists and the Economic Party

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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