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Who will Trump meet with by October 31?
Top outcomes
Elon Musk
100%
Sam Altman
24%
Dario Amodei
13%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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$57K Vol.
Closes Nov 1, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$56.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$57K Vol.
Elon Musk
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Sam Altman
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dario Amodei
13% market probability
13%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 13%
+87 / −13
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 87%
+13 / −87
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Volodymyr Zelenskyy
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
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0 / 2,000
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Mohammed bin Salman
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
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0 / 2,000
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Mark Carney
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Mark Carney
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Miguel Díaz-Canel
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Miguel Díaz-Canel
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0 / 2,000
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Giorgia Meloni
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Giorgia Meloni
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Joseph Aoun
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
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0 / 2,000
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Andy Burnham
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Andy Burnham
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0 / 2,000
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Benjamin Netanyahu
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Benjamin Netanyahu
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0 / 2,000
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Vladimir Putin
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Vladimir Putin
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0 / 2,000
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Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
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0 / 2,000
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Kim Jong Un
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Javier Milei
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
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0 / 2,000
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Xi Jinping
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Xi Jinping
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0 / 2,000
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Keir Starmer
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
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0 / 2,000
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