Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Top outcomes

October 2 100%
October 3 100%
October 4 100%
October 5 100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

$56K Vol. Closes Nov 1, 2026

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$56.1k Vol.

All outcomes

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$56K Vol.

October 2

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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October 3

100% market probability

100%

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October 4

100% market probability

100%

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October 5

100% market probability

100%

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October 6

100% market probability

100%

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October 7

100% market probability

100%

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October 8

100% market probability

100%

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October 9

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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October 10

100% market probability

100%

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October 11

100% market probability

100%

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October 12

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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October 13

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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October 14

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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October 15

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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October 16

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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October 28

98% market probability

98%

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0 / 2,000

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October 29

98% market probability

98%

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October 19

98% market probability

98%

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October 21

98% market probability

98%

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October 20

97% market probability

97%

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October 26

97% market probability

97%

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October 17

97% market probability

97%

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October 22

96% market probability

96%

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October 23

96% market probability

96%

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October 24

94% market probability

94%

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October 27

94% market probability

94%

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October 25

93% market probability

93%

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October 30

91% market probability

91%

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October 31

90% market probability

90%

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October 18

89% market probability

89%

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