Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

$958K Vol. Closes May 31, 2026

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$957.5k Vol.

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Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$958K Vol.

May 28

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

May 30

94% market probability

94%
Yes 94% +6 / −94 No 6% +94 / −6

May 31

92% market probability

92%
Yes 92% +8 / −92 No 8% +92 / −8
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