Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Top outcomes

JD Vance 100%
Elon Musk 100%
Dana White 100%
Xi Jinping 100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain praising language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Praising language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as praise, or endorses praising language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as praise if it expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the individual either personally or professionally. This includes direct praise, attributing a positive personal or professional trait to the individual (e.g., strong, smart, loyal, a winner), or equivalent positive descriptions. General neutrality or polite diplomatic language will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

$76K Vol. Closes Oct 31, 2026

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$76.3k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$76K Vol.

JD Vance

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Elon Musk

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Dana White

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Xi Jinping

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Kevin Warsh

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Andy Burnham

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Byron Donalds

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Emmanuel Macron

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Karoline Leavitt

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Claudia Sheinbaum

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Flávio Bolsonaro

94% market probability

94%

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0 / 2,000

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Benjamin Netanyahu

66% market probability

66%

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0 / 2,000

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Dario Amodei

49% market probability

49%

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0 / 2,000

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Gianni Infantino

46% market probability

46%

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0 / 2,000

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Delcy Rodriguez

45% market probability

45%

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0 / 2,000

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Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

44% market probability

44%

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0 / 2,000

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Volodymyr Zelenskyy

40% market probability

40%

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0 / 2,000

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Mark Rutte

38% market probability

38%

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0 / 2,000

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Bryson DeChambeau

35% market probability

35%

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0 / 2,000

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Javier Milei

34% market probability

34%

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0 / 2,000

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Kim Jong Un

30% market probability

30%

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0 / 2,000

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Zohran Mamdani

29% market probability

29%

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0 / 2,000

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Warren Buffett

23% market probability

23%

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0 / 2,000

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Nicki Minaj

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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Jon Rahm

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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