Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Top outcomes

Joe Biden 100%
Ilhan Omar 100%
Hasan Piker 100%
Barack Obama 100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

$138K Vol. Closes Oct 31, 2026

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$137.8k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$138K Vol.

Joe Biden

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Ilhan Omar

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Hasan Piker

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Barack Obama

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Jimmy Kimmel

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Kathy Hochul

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Jerome Powell

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Kamala Harris

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Letitia James

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Abdul El-Sayed

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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James Talarico

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Nicolás Maduro

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Jon Ossoff

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Gavin Newsom

99% market probability

99%

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0 / 2,000

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Kaitlan Collins

91% market probability

91%

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0 / 2,000

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Tucker Carlson

71% market probability

71%

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0 / 2,000

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J.B. Pritzker

70% market probability

70%

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0 / 2,000

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Elizabeth Warren

62% market probability

62%

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0 / 2,000

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Mark Carney

58% market probability

58%

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0 / 2,000

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Thomas Massie

52% market probability

52%

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0 / 2,000

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Hakeem Jeffries

52% market probability

52%

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0 / 2,000

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Chuck Schumer

51% market probability

51%

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0 / 2,000

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Hillary Clinton

44% market probability

44%

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0 / 2,000

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

36% market probability

36%

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0 / 2,000

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Ken Paxton

22% market probability

22%

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0 / 2,000

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Zohran Mamdani

20% market probability

20%

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0 / 2,000

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Friedrich Merz

18% market probability

18%

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0 / 2,000

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Candace Owens

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Stephen Colbert

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Emmanuel Macron

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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Andy Burnham

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Dario Amodei

9% market probability

9%

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0 / 2,000

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Mike Rogers

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Benjamin Netanyahu

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Pope Leo XIV

7% market probability

7%

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0 / 2,000

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Elon Musk

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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J.D. Vance

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Kevin Warsh

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Masoud Pezeshkian

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Vladimir Putin

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Xi Jinping

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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