Policy & Courts

Forecasts in Policy & Courts · Politics

19 open forecasts of 517 in Politics

Events in Policy & Courts

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Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47 40% Yes No
48 16% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$3.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Other 46% Yes No
Democrats 8-10% 28% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$159K Vol.
Polymarket

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$229K Vol.
Polymarket

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party 64% Yes No
Republican Party 36% Yes No
$7.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

D4vd released from custody in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$8K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

December 31 21% Yes No
October 31 7% Yes No
$91K Vol.
Polymarket

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$174K Vol.
Polymarket

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$21K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Saudi Arabia 18% Yes No
Russia 10% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$113K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer 52% Yes No
John Thune 24% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$174K Vol.
Polymarket

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$451K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

June 30, 2027 14% Yes No
December 31, 2026 8% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$13K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

June 30, 2027 50% Yes No
December 31 14% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$4.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

December 31, 2027 22% Yes No
December 31, 2026 2% Yes No
$753K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Maduro Prison Time?

No prison time 58% Yes No
60+ 24% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$924K Vol.
Polymarket World

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028 26% Yes No
December 31, 2027 20% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$576K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

No 24%
Yes 76%
$112K Vol.
Polymarket