Policy & Courts
Forecasts in Policy & Courts · Politics
12 open forecasts of 414 in Politics
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2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Other
46%
Yes
No
Democrats 8-10%
28%
Yes
No
+12 more outcomes
$131K Vol.
Polymarket
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
50%
Yes
No
Republican Party
50%
Yes
No
$4.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤47
26%
Yes
No
48
14%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?
No
68%
Yes
32%
$116K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
D4vd released from custody in 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$8K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$19K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Next Senate Majority Leader?
John Thune
42%
Yes
No
Chuck Schumer
38%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$155K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?
December 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
June 30, 2027
6%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$11K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 2027
36%
Yes
No
December 31
6%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$15K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
No
34%
Yes
66%
$98K Vol.
Polymarket