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Next Senate Majority Leader?

Top outcomes

John Thune 32%
Chuck Schumer 30%
Brian Schatz 6%
Tom Cotton 5%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

$142K Vol. Closes Jan 3, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$142.4k Vol.

All outcomes

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$142K Vol.

John Thune

32% market probability

32%

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0 / 2,000

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Chuck Schumer

30% market probability

30%

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0 / 2,000

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Brian Schatz

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Tom Cotton

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Steve Daines

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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John Barrasso

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Patty Murray

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Mark Kelly

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Amy Klobuchar

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Cory Booker

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Lindsey Graham

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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