Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

No 96%

Yes 4%

$555K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

September 30 22% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$2.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

No Meeting by September 30 32% Yes No

Switzerland 24% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$2.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 60% Yes No

Flávio Bolsonaro 24% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$112.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro 84% Yes No

Renan Santos 9% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$4.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Juliana Brizola 42% Yes No

Luciano Zucco 40% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$80K Vol.

Polymarket

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

Tarcísio de Freitas 92% Yes No

Fernando Haddad 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$236K Vol.

Polymarket

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Eduardo Paes 90% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$251K Vol.

Polymarket

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

UNRWA 10% Yes No

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 8% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$22.4M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Likud 48% Yes No

Yashar 44% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$100K Vol.

Polymarket

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 44% Yes No

R Senate, D House 40% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$8.6M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

No 71%

Yes 29%

$3.6M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 94% Yes No

Steve Hilton 7% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$40.2M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Maine Senate Election Winner

Democrat 66% Yes No

Republican 35% Yes No

$986K Vol.

Polymarket

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Republican 80% Yes No

Democrat 20% Yes No

$94K Vol.

Polymarket

Texas Senate Election Winner

Ken Paxton (R) 56% Yes No

James Talarico (D) 44% Yes No

$585K Vol.

Polymarket

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party 84% Yes No

Republican Party 16% Yes No

$8.4M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican Party 56% Yes No

Democratic Party 46% Yes No

$3.2M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47 24% Yes No

51 16% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$2.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 31 30% Yes No

September 30 16% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$5.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

December 31, 2026 3% Yes No

July 31, 2026 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$268K Vol.

Polymarket

D4vd released from custody in 2026?

No 90%

Yes 10%

$8K Vol.

Polymarket Pop Culture

Epstein client list released by...?

July 31 1% Yes No

June 30 0% Yes No

$4.4M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

No 94%

Yes 6%

$567K Vol.

Polymarket