Politics

Elections, policy, and government

414 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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Who will Trump meet with in September?

Andy Burnham 96% Yes No
Xi Jinping 92% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by...?

September 30? 4% Yes No
August 9? 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$165K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Borova by...?

September 30 7% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$292K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?

September 30 4% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?

September 30 8% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$87K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

1000+ 34% Yes No
840-879 12% Yes No

+44 more outcomes

$22K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

September 30 78% Yes No
September 15 21% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$255K Vol.
Polymarket

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

AS 75% Yes No
SV 12% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$213K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

PL 57% Yes No
UPB 39% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$103K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 56% Yes No
Flávio Bolsonaro 39% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$141.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro 88% Yes No
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 7% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$6.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Augusto Cury 54% Yes No
Ronaldo Caiado 28% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$886K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva 5-10% 42% Yes No
Lula da Silva <5% 38% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$364K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

PL 85% Yes No
MDB 6% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$47K Vol.
Polymarket

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Luciano Zucco 54% Yes No
Juliana Brizola 45% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$96K Vol.
Polymarket

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

Tarcísio de Freitas 98% Yes No
Fernando Haddad 2% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$293K Vol.
Polymarket

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 97% Yes No
Flavio Bolsonaro 96% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$551K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$192K Vol.
Polymarket

Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place

Eduardo Braga 71% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+34 more outcomes

$32K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

Flavio Bolsonaro 86% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+38 more outcomes

$29K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás

Flavio Bolsonaro 70% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+38 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

Lula 86% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+38 more outcomes

$18K Vol.
Polymarket