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Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Top outcomes

Eduardo Paes 84%
Other 50%
Candidate C 50%
Candidate D 50%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

$185K Vol. Closes Oct 5, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$184.5k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$185K Vol.

Eduardo Paes

84% market probability

84%

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0 / 2,000

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Other

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate C

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate D

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate E

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate F

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate G

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate H

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate I

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate J

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Felipe Curi

11% market probability

11%

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0 / 2,000

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Douglas Ruas

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Wilson Witzel

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Anthony Garotinho

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Tarcísio Motta

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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André Ceciliano

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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André Português

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Fred Pacheco

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Dr. Luizinho

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Chico Machado

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Nicola Miccione

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Lindbergh Farias

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Eduardo Pazuello

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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