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Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Top outcomes
Eduardo Paes
84%
Other
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
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$185K Vol.
Closes Oct 5, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$184.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$185K Vol.
Eduardo Paes
84% market probability
84%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 84%
+16 / −84
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 17%
+83 / −17
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
Explain your No on Other
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate C
Explain your No on Candidate C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate D
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate E
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate F
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate G
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate H
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate I
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate J
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Felipe Curi
11% market probability
11%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 11%
+89 / −11
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 89%
+11 / −89
Explain your Yes on Felipe Curi
Explain your No on Felipe Curi
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Douglas Ruas
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Douglas Ruas
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Wilson Witzel
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Wilson Witzel
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Anthony Garotinho
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Anthony Garotinho
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tarcísio Motta
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tarcísio Motta
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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André Ceciliano
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on André Ceciliano
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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André Português
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on André Português
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Fred Pacheco
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Fred Pacheco
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dr. Luizinho
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Dr. Luizinho
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Chico Machado
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Chico Machado
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nicola Miccione
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nicola Miccione
Explain your No on Nicola Miccione
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lindbergh Farias
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Lindbergh Farias
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Eduardo Pazuello
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Eduardo Pazuello
Explain your No on Eduardo Pazuello
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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