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Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Top outcomes

December 31, 2026 3%
July 31, 2026 1%
June 30, 2026 0%
January 31, 2026 0%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo announces she is resigning as President of Mexico or otherwise ceases to be President of Mexico for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Claudia Sheinbaum or the Government of Mexico, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

$268K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$268.0k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$268K Vol.

December 31, 2026

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2026 Explain your No on December 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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July 31, 2026

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on July 31, 2026 Explain your No on July 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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June 30, 2026

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on June 30, 2026 Explain your No on June 30, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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January 31, 2026

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on January 31, 2026 Explain your No on January 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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