Politics

Elections, policy, and government

214 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$818K Vol.
Polymarket World

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

December 31 34% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$654K Vol.
Polymarket

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$352K Vol.
Polymarket

Greece x Turkey military engagement by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

December 31 98% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$389K Vol.
Polymarket

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

4 50% Yes No
5 33% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$7.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

India strike on Pakistan by...?

December 31, 2026 18% Yes No
October 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$970K Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
October 31 8% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$17.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei 74% Yes No
No Head of State 9% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$26.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran Nuke before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

December 31, 2026 9% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

December 31 27% Yes No
July 31 17% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

No 85%
Yes 15%
$9K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

JD Vance out as VP by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$234K Vol.
Polymarket

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Kash Patel out by...?

December 31 48% Yes No
July 31 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$142K Vol.
Polymarket

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$139K Vol.
Polymarket

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$105K Vol.
Polymarket

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$495K Vol.
Polymarket

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$197K Vol.
Polymarket

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

December 31 18% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$849K Vol.
Polymarket World

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket World