Politics
Elections, policy, and government
214 open forecasts
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Events in Politics
Sorted by date
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?
December 31
10%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$818K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 31
34%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$654K Vol.
Polymarket
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$352K Vol.
Polymarket
Greece x Turkey military engagement by...?
December 31
3%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?
December 31
98%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$389K Vol.
Polymarket
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
4
50%
Yes
No
5
33%
Yes
No
+14 more outcomes
$7.3M Vol.
Polymarket
World
India strike on Pakistan by...?
December 31, 2026
18%
Yes
No
October 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$970K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
14%
Yes
No
October 31
8%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$17.3M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
74%
Yes
No
No Head of State
9%
Yes
No
+30 more outcomes
$26.9M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026
9%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
December 31
27%
Yes
No
July 31
17%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
No
85%
Yes
15%
$9K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
JD Vance out as VP by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$234K Vol.
Polymarket
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Kash Patel out by...?
December 31
48%
Yes
No
July 31
6%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$142K Vol.
Polymarket
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$139K Vol.
Polymarket
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$105K Vol.
Polymarket
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$495K Vol.
Polymarket
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
No
91%
Yes
9%
$197K Vol.
Polymarket
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
December 31
18%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$849K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 31
26%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Showing 73–96 of 214