Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? Bitcoin all time high by ___? F1 Drivers' Champion Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? NBA: 2027 Champion Brazil Presidential Election Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? Bitcoin all time high by ___? F1 Drivers' Champion Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? NBA: 2027 Champion Brazil Presidential Election Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Open Crypto Polymarket

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top outcomes

$150M 60%
$300M 40%
$500M 14%
$800M 8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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$3.7M Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$3.7m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$3.7M Vol.

$150M

60% market probability

60%

Explain your Yes on $150M Explain your No on $150M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$300M

40% market probability

40%

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0 / 2,000

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$500M

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on $500M Explain your No on $500M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$800M

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on $800M Explain your No on $800M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$1B

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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$3B

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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$2B

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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