Open
Crypto
Polymarket
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top outcomes
$150M
74%
$300M
50%
$500M
24%
$800M
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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$3.0M Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$3.0m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$3.0M Vol.
$150M
74% market probability
74%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 74%
+26 / −74
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 26%
+74 / −26
$300M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on $300M
Explain your No on $300M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$500M
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on $500M
Explain your No on $500M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$800M
13% market probability
13%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 13%
+87 / −13
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 87%
+13 / −87
Explain your Yes on $800M
Explain your No on $800M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$1B
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on $1B
Explain your No on $1B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$3B
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on $3B
Explain your No on $3B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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$2B
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on $2B
Explain your No on $2B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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