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Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Top outcomes
Luca Niculescu
85%
Sorin Grindeanu
1%
Alexandru Nazare
1%
Ilie Bolojan
1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$5.4M Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2028
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$5.4m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$5.4M Vol.
Luca Niculescu
85% market probability
85%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 85%
+15 / −85
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 15%
+85 / −15
Sorin Grindeanu
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Sorin Grindeanu
Explain your No on Sorin Grindeanu
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alexandru Nazare
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Alexandru Nazare
Explain your No on Alexandru Nazare
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ilie Bolojan
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Ilie Bolojan
Explain your No on Ilie Bolojan
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Leonardo Badea
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Leonardo Badea
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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George Simion
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on George Simion
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Victor Ponta
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Victor Ponta
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Eugen Tomac
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Eugen Tomac
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Traian Basescu
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Traian Basescu
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dragoș Pîslaru
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Dragoș Pîslaru
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alexandru Rogobete
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Alexandru Rogobete
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Siegfried Mureșan
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Siegfried Mureșan
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lucian Croitoru
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Emil Boc
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Emil Boc
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Anca Dragu
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Anca Dragu
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lucian Isar
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Lucian Isar
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dan Motreanu
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Dan Motreanu
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Radu Burnete
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Radu Burnete
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ciprian Ciucu
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ciprian Ciucu
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dominic Fritz
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Dominic Fritz
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Elena Lasconi
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Elena Lasconi
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Hunor Kelemen
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Hunor Kelemen
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Raluca Turcan
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Raluca Turcan
Explain your No on Raluca Turcan
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Vasile Dîncu
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Vasile Dîncu
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Șerban Matei
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Șerban Matei
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Adrian Veștea
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Adrian Veștea
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dacian Cioloș
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Dacian Cioloș
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ionuț Dumitru
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ionuț Dumitru
Explain your No on Ionuț Dumitru
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Marcel Ciolacu
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Marcel Ciolacu
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mircea Geoană
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Mircea Geoană
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nicolae Ciucă
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nicolae Ciucă
Explain your No on Nicolae Ciucă
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Calin Georgescu
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Calin Georgescu
Explain your No on Calin Georgescu
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mugur Isărescu
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Mugur Isărescu
Explain your No on Mugur Isărescu
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alexandru Rafila
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Alexandru Rafila
Explain your No on Alexandru Rafila
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cătălin Drulă
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Cătălin Drulă
Explain your No on Cătălin Drulă
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Delia Velculescu
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Delia Velculescu
Explain your No on Delia Velculescu
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cătălin Predoiu
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Cătălin Predoiu
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sebastian Burduja
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Sebastian Burduja
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
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