Politics

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Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Ken Sim 43% Yes No
Pete Fry 30% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$181K Vol.
Polymarket

Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Frank Scarpitti 93% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+25 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Mark Sutcliffe 70% Yes No
Alex Lawson 14% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$73K Vol.
Polymarket

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar 52% Yes No
Likud 48% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$243K Vol.
Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

No 89%
Yes 11%
$314K Vol.
Polymarket

Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?

121-124 46% Yes No
125-128 28% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by...?

October 31 20% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$236K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

October 31 66% Yes No
September 30 44% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$54K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Toretske by...?

October 31 100% Yes No
September 30 99% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$160K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?

October 31 10% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$515K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Other 46% Yes No
Democrats 8-10% 28% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$131K Vol.
Polymarket

AL-03 House Election Winner

Republican Party 94% Yes No
Democratic Party 1% Yes No
$42K Vol.
Polymarket

AL-05 House Election Winner

Republican Party 94% Yes No
Democratic Party 6% Yes No
$46K Vol.
Polymarket

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 54% Yes No
Bernadette Wilson 36% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola 64% Yes No
Sen. Dan Sullivan 34% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$464K Vol.
Polymarket

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D) 88% Yes No
Andy Biggs (R) 12% Yes No
$67K Vol.
Polymarket

AZ-03 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 98% Yes No
Republican Party 0% Yes No
$51K Vol.
Polymarket

AZ-09 House Election Winner

Republican Party 94% Yes No
Democratic Party 3% Yes No
$26K Vol.
Polymarket

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 50% Yes No
R Senate, D House 36% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$10.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

No 70%
Yes 30%
$3.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

CA-23 House Election Winner

Republican Party 93% Yes No
Democratic Party 6% Yes No
$60K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-24 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 98% Yes No
Republican Party 2% Yes No
$51K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-28 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 98% Yes No
Republican Party 2% Yes No
$141K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-44 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 98% Yes No
Republican Party 2% Yes No
$47K Vol.
Polymarket