Politics
Elections, policy, and government
215 open forecasts
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Events in Politics
Sorted by date
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 31
26%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$197K Vol.
Polymarket
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
December 31, 2026
7%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$934K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
36%
Yes
No
July 31
1%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$123.5M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Starmer - UK PM
97%
Yes
No
Abbas - President of Palestine
1%
Yes
No
+22 more outcomes
$64.9M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
Andy Burnham
100%
Yes
No
Nigel Farage
0%
Yes
No
+20 more outcomes
$16.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$151K Vol.
Polymarket
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
No
20%
Yes
80%
$660K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
December 31, 2026
25%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$524K Vol.
Polymarket
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
December 31
97%
Yes
No
July 31
16%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$814K Vol.
Polymarket
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$108K Vol.
Polymarket
Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026
11%
Yes
No
September 30, 2026
4%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$6.1M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 31
40%
Yes
No
October 31
24%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$5.4M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
July 31
1%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$150K Vol.
Polymarket
Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 31
27%
Yes
No
September 30
6%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$82K Vol.
Polymarket
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$9.9M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
No
91%
Yes
9%
$83K Vol.
Polymarket
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No
53%
Yes
47%
$220K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Ukraine coup attempt by...?
December 31
10%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$123K Vol.
Polymarket
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
No
82%
Yes
18%
$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket
World
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
No
86%
Yes
14%
$101K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
No
91%
Yes
9%
$182K Vol.
Polymarket
US military draft authorized in 2026?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$469K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 97–120 of 215