Politics

Elections, policy, and government

215 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$197K Vol.
Polymarket

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

December 31, 2026 7% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$934K Vol.
Polymarket World

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 36% Yes No
July 31 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$123.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Starmer - UK PM 97% Yes No
Abbas - President of Palestine 1% Yes No

+22 more outcomes

$64.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Andy Burnham 100% Yes No
Nigel Farage 0% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$16.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$151K Vol.
Polymarket

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

No 20%
Yes 80%
$660K Vol.
Polymarket World

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

December 31, 2026 25% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$524K Vol.
Polymarket

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

December 31 97% Yes No
July 31 16% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$814K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$108K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 11% Yes No
September 30, 2026 4% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$6.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31 40% Yes No
October 31 24% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$5.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
July 31 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$150K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 31 27% Yes No
September 30 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$82K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$9.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$83K Vol.
Polymarket

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 53%
Yes 47%
$220K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$123K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$101K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$182K Vol.
Polymarket

US military draft authorized in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$469K Vol.
Polymarket