Politics
Elections, policy, and government
215 open forecasts
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Events in Politics
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U.S. nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
No
September 30, 2026
1%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$764K Vol.
Polymarket
World
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
September 30
6%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$28.4M Vol.
Polymarket
World
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$178K Vol.
Polymarket
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$613K Vol.
Polymarket
World
US strike on Mexico by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
March 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$3.4M Vol.
Polymarket
World
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
No
11%
Yes
89%
$148K Vol.
Polymarket
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
94%
Yes
No
María Corina Machado
3%
Yes
No
+14 more outcomes
$270K Vol.
Polymarket
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027
88%
Yes
No
Switzerland
3%
Yes
No
+12 more outcomes
$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Belgium
19%
Yes
No
The Netherlands
13%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$748K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
India
21%
Yes
No
South Korea
16%
Yes
No
+15 more outcomes
$354K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot
41%
Yes
No
Benjamin Netanyahu
36%
Yes
No
+16 more outcomes
$26.6M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Pam Bondi
100%
Yes
No
Dan Bongino
100%
Yes
No
+18 more outcomes
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Matt Gaetz
34%
Yes
No
Daniel Penny
34%
Yes
No
+25 more outcomes
$348K Vol.
Polymarket
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$75K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Alberta join the US?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$240K Vol.
Polymarket
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
No
93%
Yes
7%
$134K Vol.
Polymarket
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$38.4M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
December 31
9%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No
87%
Yes
13%
$266K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$161K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
December 31
7%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$471K Vol.
Polymarket
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$422K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$11.6M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Showing 121–144 of 215