Open Politics Polymarket

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Top outcomes

Pam Bondi 100%
Dan Bongino 100%
Tulsi Gabbard 100%
Karoline Leavitt 100%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

$1.4M Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$1.4m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.4M Vol.

Pam Bondi

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Dan Bongino

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Tulsi Gabbard

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Karoline Leavitt

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Lori Chavez-DeRemer

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Kristi Noem

37% market probability

37%

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0 / 2,000

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Russell Vought

30% market probability

30%

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0 / 2,000

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Dan Scavino

29% market probability

29%

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0 / 2,000

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Howard Lutnick

28% market probability

28%

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0 / 2,000

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Tom Homan

27% market probability

27%

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0 / 2,000

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Kash Patel

24% market probability

24%

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0 / 2,000

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Susie Wiles

23% market probability

23%

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0 / 2,000

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

23% market probability

23%

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0 / 2,000

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Markwayne Mullin

22% market probability

22%

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0 / 2,000

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David Sacks

22% market probability

22%

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0 / 2,000

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Lee Zeldin

19% market probability

19%

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0 / 2,000

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Pete Hegseth

19% market probability

19%

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0 / 2,000

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John Ratcliffe

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Scott Bessent

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Stephen Miller

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Marco Rubio

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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