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Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? NBA: 2027 Champion Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Iran leadership change by...? María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Iran leader end of 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Highest grossing movie in 2026? Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Largest Company end of December 2026?
Open Politics Polymarket

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Top outcomes

Pam Bondi 100%
Dan Bongino 100%
Tulsi Gabbard 100%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer 100%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

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$1.3M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$1.3m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.3M Vol.

Pam Bondi

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Dan Bongino

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Tulsi Gabbard

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Lori Chavez-DeRemer

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Kash Patel

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Russell Vought

43% market probability

43%

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0 / 2,000

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David Sacks

43% market probability

43%

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0 / 2,000

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Kristi Noem

40% market probability

40%

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0 / 2,000

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

34% market probability

34%

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0 / 2,000

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Lee Zeldin

28% market probability

28%

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0 / 2,000

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Pete Hegseth

26% market probability

26%

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0 / 2,000

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Howard Lutnick

26% market probability

26%

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0 / 2,000

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Karoline Leavitt

26% market probability

26%

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0 / 2,000

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Susie Wiles

25% market probability

25%

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0 / 2,000

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John Ratcliffe

24% market probability

24%

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0 / 2,000

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Stephen Miller

22% market probability

22%

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0 / 2,000

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Tom Homan

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Scott Bessent

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Marco Rubio

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Dan Scavino

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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