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Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

$250K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

Live odds

No 95%
Yes 5%

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Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

203 days left

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Market closes Dec 31, 2026

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