Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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$444K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

Live odds

No 97%

Yes 3%

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Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

122 days left

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Market closes Jan 1, 2027

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Yes Market 3% +97 if correct · −3 if wrong No Market 97% +3 if correct · −97 if wrong

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