What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Netanyahu out by...? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Next Prime Minister of Romania? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? US military action against Cuba by...? New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Iran full airspace closure by...? Crude Oil all time high by...? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Xi Jinping out before 2027? NFL Champion 2027 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Netanyahu out by...? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Next Prime Minister of Romania? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? US military action against Cuba by...? New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Iran full airspace closure by...? Crude Oil all time high by...? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Xi Jinping out before 2027? NFL Champion 2027 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
Open World Polymarket

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Top outcomes

Belgium 12%
Finland 10%
New Zealand 10%
Italy 9%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

View on Polymarket
$763K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$763.0k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$763K Vol.

Belgium

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on Belgium Explain your No on Belgium (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Finland

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on Finland Explain your No on Finland (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

New Zealand

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on New Zealand Explain your No on New Zealand (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Italy

9% market probability

9%

Explain your Yes on Italy Explain your No on Italy (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

The Netherlands

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on The Netherlands Explain your No on The Netherlands (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

United States

7% market probability

7%

Explain your Yes on United States Explain your No on United States (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Greece

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on Greece Explain your No on Greece (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Japan

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on Japan Explain your No on Japan (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Germany

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on Germany Explain your No on Germany (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Austria

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on Austria Explain your No on Austria (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Israel

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on Israel Explain your No on Israel (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.