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Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner US military action against Cuba by...? 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? 2026 NBA Champion Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Fed Decision in July? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Open World Polymarket

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Top outcomes

Belgium 28%
New Zealand 22%
Italy 18%
The Netherlands 16%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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$717K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$717K Vol.

Belgium

28% market probability

28%

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0 / 2,000

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New Zealand

22% market probability

22%

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0 / 2,000

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Italy

18% market probability

18%

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The Netherlands

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Japan

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Greece

11% market probability

11%

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0 / 2,000

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Finland

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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United States

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Austria

7% market probability

7%

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0 / 2,000

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Germany

7% market probability

7%

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0 / 2,000

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