Presidential Election Winner 2028 Largest Company end of December 2026? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Israel closes its airspace by...? NBA: 2027 Champion Trump out as President before 2027? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Brazil Presidential Election Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Presidential Election Winner 2028 Largest Company end of December 2026? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Israel closes its airspace by...? NBA: 2027 Champion Trump out as President before 2027? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Brazil Presidential Election Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Open World Polymarket

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Top outcomes

Belgium 19%
New Zealand 15%
Italy 14%
The Netherlands 12%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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$758K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$758.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$758K Vol.

Belgium

19% market probability

19%

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0 / 2,000

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New Zealand

15% market probability

15%

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0 / 2,000

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Italy

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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The Netherlands

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Japan

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Finland

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Austria

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Greece

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Germany

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Israel

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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United States

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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