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MLB: 2026 American League Champion Iran leadership change by...? Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? NFL Champion 2027 MLS Cup Winner 2026 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? SpaceX IPO by ___ ? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? 2026 NBA Champion IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? F1 Drivers' Champion Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Netanyahu out by...? Venezuela leader end of 2026? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
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Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Top outcomes

Mexico 29%
South Korea 26%
United Kingdom 25%
India 24%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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$336K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$336.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$336K Vol.

Mexico

29% market probability

29%

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0 / 2,000

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South Korea

26% market probability

26%

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0 / 2,000

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United Kingdom

25% market probability

25%

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0 / 2,000

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India

24% market probability

24%

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0 / 2,000

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Taiwan

17% market probability

17%

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0 / 2,000

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Canada

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Vietnam

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Japan

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Australia

15% market probability

15%

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0 / 2,000

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South Africa

15% market probability

15%

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0 / 2,000

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Israel

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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Indonesia

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on Indonesia Explain your No on Indonesia (optional)

0 / 2,000

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European Union

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on European Union Explain your No on European Union (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Brazil

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Pakistan

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Russia

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on Russia Explain your No on Russia (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Argentina

7% market probability

7%

Explain your Yes on Argentina Explain your No on Argentina (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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