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EPL: 2027 Champion Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Highest grossing movie in 2026? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Largest Company end of December 2026? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Los Angeles Mayoral Election Fed rate cut by...? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? California Governor Election Winner Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Epstein client list released by...? María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
Open Polymarket

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Top outcomes

Mexico 16%
Israel 13%
Canada 12%
Australia 11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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$402K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$402.0k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$402K Vol.

Mexico

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Israel

13% market probability

13%

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0 / 2,000

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Canada

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Australia

11% market probability

11%

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0 / 2,000

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Vietnam

11% market probability

11%

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0 / 2,000

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Russia

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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United Kingdom

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Pakistan

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Taiwan

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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India

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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South Korea

9% market probability

9%

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0 / 2,000

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Indonesia

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on Indonesia Explain your No on Indonesia (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Argentina

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on Argentina Explain your No on Argentina (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Japan

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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South Africa

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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European Union

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on European Union Explain your No on European Union (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Brazil

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on Brazil Explain your No on Brazil (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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