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SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

Top outcomes

December 31 100%
September 30 100%
August 31 100%
June 30 100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

$4.0M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$4.0m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$4.0M Vol.

December 31

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

September 30

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

August 31

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 30

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 1% +99 / −1

June 15

99% market probability

99%
Yes 99% +1 / −99 No 1% +99 / −1

May 31

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

April 30

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

March 31

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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