Politics

Elections, policy, and government

215 open forecasts

Events in Politics

Sorted by date

Advanced filters →

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

December 31 5% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$931K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?

December 31 27% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$179K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

December 31 46% Yes No
September 30 17% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$837K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
September 30 3% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

December 31 11% Yes No
September 30 5% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

December 31 42% Yes No
September 30 14% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$895K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?

December 31 45% Yes No
September 30 22% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$254K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Pokrovka by...?

December 31 36% Yes No
July 31 8% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$152K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$421K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

December 31 24% Yes No
July 31 2% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$191K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

No 77%
Yes 23%
$57K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

No 3%
Yes 97%
$232K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$21.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$10.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
September 30 4% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$62.6M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$146K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$3.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$246K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
April 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$155K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Before 2027 7% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$965K Vol.
Polymarket