Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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$1.4M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

Live odds

No 94%

Yes 6%

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Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

204 days left

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Market closes Dec 31, 2026

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Yes Market 6% +94 if correct · −6 if wrong No Market 94% +6 if correct · −94 if wrong

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