Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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$168K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

Live odds

No 96%

Yes 4%

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Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

203 days left

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Market closes Dec 31, 2026

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Yes Market 4% +96 if correct · −4 if wrong No Market 96% +4 if correct · −96 if wrong

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