Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

View on Polymarket

$103K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

Live odds

No 95%

Yes 5%

Live Polymarket Chart

Open on Polymarket ↗

Place a forecast

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

189 days left

Pick your outcome below. Live Polymarket odds are captured when you submit. Share the argument behind your pick, then post your forecast.

Market closes Dec 31, 2026

Your forecast

Reputation at stake based on current Polymarket odds.

Yes Market 5% +95 if correct · −5 if wrong No Market 95% +5 if correct · −95 if wrong

Your pick

Explain your forecast (optional) 0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.