Politics

Elections, policy, and government

217 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$965K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$113K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$732K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$67K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$145K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$153K Vol.
Polymarket

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
August 31 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$6.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

August 31 5% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$889K Vol.
Polymarket World

X banned in any European country by December 31?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$13K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?

December 31 92% Yes No
July 31 5% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$39K Vol.
Polymarket

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

December 31 38% Yes No
July 31 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$847K Vol.
Polymarket World

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$388K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine election called by...?

December 31, 2026 18% Yes No
August 31, 2026 8% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine election held by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will any country leave NATO by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

December 31, 2026 94% Yes No
September 30, 2026 90% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$7.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027 20% Yes No
December 31, 2026 10% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$17.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

December 31, 2026 20% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

December 31 60% Yes No
September 30 34% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$139K Vol.
Polymarket

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

December 31 25% Yes No
October 31 14% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$172K Vol.
Polymarket

Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?

No next Foreign Secretary in 2026 58% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+35 more outcomes

$199K Vol.
Polymarket