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Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
Top outcomes
January 31, 2027
60%
January 15, 2027
50%
December 31, 2026
22%
June 30, 2026
0%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spain's Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, is removed from power for any length of time between December 2, 2025 and the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Prime Minister of Spain within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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$862K Vol.
Closes Feb 1, 2027
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$861.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$862K Vol.
January 31, 2027
60% market probability
60%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 60%
+40 / −60
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 40%
+60 / −40
January 15, 2027
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on January 15, 2027
Explain your No on January 15, 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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December 31, 2026
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
Explain your Yes on December 31, 2026
Explain your No on December 31, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 30, 2026
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 30, 2026
Explain your No on June 30, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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