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Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Top outcomes

December 31, 2026 7%
December 31 0%
June 30, 2026 0%
April 30, 2026 0%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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$934K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$934.0k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$934K Vol.

December 31, 2026

7% market probability

7%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2026 Explain your No on December 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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December 31

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on December 31 Explain your No on December 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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June 30, 2026

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on June 30, 2026 Explain your No on June 30, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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April 30, 2026

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on April 30, 2026 Explain your No on April 30, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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March 31, 2026

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on March 31, 2026 Explain your No on March 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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