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French election called by...?
Top outcomes
July 31, 2026
1%
October 10
0%
October 17
0%
September 15
0%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French parlimentary election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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$1.1M Vol.
Closes Jul 31, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$1.1m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$1.1M Vol.
July 31, 2026
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
October 10
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on October 10
Explain your No on October 10
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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October 17
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on October 17
Explain your No on October 17
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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September 15
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on September 15
Explain your No on September 15
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
June 30, 2026
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 30, 2026
Explain your No on June 30, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Cancel
October 31, 2025
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on October 31, 2025
Explain your No on October 31, 2025
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
December 31, 2025
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on December 31, 2025
Explain your No on December 31, 2025
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
November 30, 2025
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on November 30, 2025
Explain your No on November 30, 2025
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Public forecast history
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