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Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Top outcomes

July 31 98%
July 16 97%
July 17 97%
July 14 95%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.

$150K Vol. Closes Jul 31, 2026

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$150.3k Vol.

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$150K Vol.

July 31

98% market probability

98%

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0 / 2,000

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July 16

97% market probability

97%

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July 17

97% market probability

97%

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July 14

95% market probability

95%

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July 15

95% market probability

95%

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July 13

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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July 10

0% market probability

0%

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