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Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?
Top outcomes
Troy Jackson
76%
Other
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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$509K Vol.
Closes Jul 27, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$508.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$509K Vol.
Troy Jackson
76% market probability
76%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 76%
+24 / −76
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 24%
+76 / −24
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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0 / 2,000
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Candidate H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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0 / 2,000
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Candidate I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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0 / 2,000
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Candidate J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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0 / 2,000
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Nirav Shah
13% market probability
13%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 13%
+87 / −13
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 87%
+13 / −87
Explain your Yes on Nirav Shah
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0 / 2,000
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Shenna Bellows
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
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0 / 2,000
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Jordan Wood
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
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0 / 2,000
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Dan Kleban
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Dan Kleban
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0 / 2,000
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Chellie Pingree
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
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0 / 2,000
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Jared Golden
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jared Golden
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0 / 2,000
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Valli Geiger
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Valli Geiger
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Graham Platner
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Graham Platner
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Aaron Frey
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Aaron Frey
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0 / 2,000
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Paige Loud
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
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0 / 2,000
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Janet Mills
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
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0 / 2,000
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